PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xc14e…39a5

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$30.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet3 open · 0% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$286.9K596 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded36Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+9.8% / $95% interval −25.8% to +45.5%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+9.8%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$1.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$32.8K
Concentration
59.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
NoValue$945PnL+$314Avg59¢Current88.5¢1,067.73Shares
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$380PnL+$123Avg64¢Current94.8¢400.74Shares
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?
YesValue$255PnL+$152Avg12.7¢Current31.5¢810.4Shares
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland
Scotland · NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg30¢Current0¢4,999.98Shares
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$546Avg36¢Current0¢1,516.03Shares
UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)
Trevor Peek · YesValue$0PnL−$596Avg22¢Current0¢2,711.11Shares
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Ireland
Ireland · NoValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg32¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Noche UFC: Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King (Featherweight, Prelims)
Jessie Rosas · YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg35¢Current0¢5,554.94Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xc14e1840aaaa56e12409585ad2c2a74c161339a5: edge +9.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.8%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+9.8% over 12 fills); +$30.7K lifetime P&L, $286.9K traded, updated 2026-09-24.