PolyTrace
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Trader profile

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Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$51.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46%3,555 settled · past 180 days17 open · 89% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,001Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.5% / $95% interval −126.9% to +117.8%157 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.9%n=148 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46% · Decided 3,555 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$1.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$507.9K
Concentration
33.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,681
Showing the largest 8 of 1,681
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 1 Winner
KUUSAMO.gg · NoValue$504PnL+$62Avg43.7¢Current49.9¢1,010.29Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
The Otter Side · NoValue$485PnL+$65Avg42¢Current48.5¢999Shares
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner
Phantom · NoValue$116PnL+$2Avg33¢Current33.5¢345.91Shares
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Saint Sinners - Map 2 Winner
Saint Sinners · NoValue$95PnL−$38Avg30¢Current21.5¢444Shares
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
Esport Academy CopenhagenValue$95PnL−$51Avg33¢Current21.5¢444Shares
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner
Turma do Pagode · NoValue$64PnL−$82Avg33¢Current14.5¢443.99Shares
Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs QUAZAR (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
Glitchtech Esports · YesValue$52PnL+$1Avg43.9¢Current45¢114.93Shares
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner
Grêmio EsportsValue$44PnL−$89Avg30¢Current10¢443.96Shares
Showing 8 of 1,681 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet backbox: 46% win rate over 3,555 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −126.9%, n=157 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.9% over 148 fills); +$51.5K lifetime P&L, $5.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.