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Trader profile

baran-ludoman

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$90.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.5%108 settled · past 180 days23 open · 60% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$3.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded129Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.5% · Decided 108 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$83.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$36.1K
Concentration
26.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
53
Showing the largest 8 of 53
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US recession by end of 2026?
NoValue$22KPnL+$2.5KAvg81.1¢Current91.5¢24,057.18Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$13.7KPnL+$5.3KAvg34.5¢Current56.7¢24,133.86Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$11.3KPnL−$2.7KAvg49.1¢Current39.5¢28,715.58Shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NoValue$8KPnL+$2KAvg73.9¢Current98.5¢8,080.55Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$5.4KPnL−$1.1KAvg58.7¢Current48.8¢11,129.91Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$5KPnL+$2.3KAvg44¢Current82.5¢6,000Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$3.8KPnL−$3.4KAvg18¢Current9.5¢40,000.36Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$95Avg44.2¢Current42.5¢5,452.24Shares
Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet baran-ludoman: 43.5% win rate over 108 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$90.7K lifetime P&L, $3.2M traded, updated 2026-09-19.