PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pogb

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$49.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…69 open · 97% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,138Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.7% / $95% interval −26.5% to +31.8%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+2.7%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$431
Concentration
36.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
88
Showing the largest 8 of 88
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
NoValue$435PnL−$9Avg74¢Current72.5¢600Shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
NoValue$105PnL−$11Avg58¢Current52.5¢200Shares
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$98PnL−$1Avg39¢Current38.5¢255Shares
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
YesValue$96PnL−$5Avg51¢Current48.5¢198.9Shares
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$95PnL−$4Avg61.8¢Current59.1¢160.52Shares
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$69PnL−$1Avg35¢Current34.5¢200.01Shares
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?
YesValue$33PnL−$5Avg20.1¢Current17.6¢190Shares
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?
YesValue$33PnL−$15Avg24¢Current16.5¢200Shares
Showing 8 of 88 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pogb: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +2.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −26.5%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+2.7% over 19 fills); −$49.8K lifetime P&L, $6.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.