PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xc01f…cd8e

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate29.6%395 settled · past 180 days75 open · 72% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded388Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.9% / $95% interval −384.4% to +336.5%20 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−8.2%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 29.6% · Decided 395 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$4.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16.8K
Concentration
52.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
304
Showing the largest 8 of 304
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.6KPnL−$52Avg42.4¢Current41.5¢6,144.73Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$548PnL+$48Avg57¢Current62.5¢877.19Shares
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YesValue$443PnL+$378Avg2.2¢Current14.7¢3,013.28Shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YesValue$413PnL+$177Avg23.7¢Current41.3¢998.97Shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YesValue$152PnL+$62Avg9.6¢Current16.3¢937.57Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$115PnL+$15Avg35.9¢Current41.2¢278.77Shares
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YesValue$102PnL+$43Avg2.1¢Current3.6¢2,828.5Shares
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
YesValue$90PnL+$57Avg1.2¢Current3.2¢2,809.86Shares
Showing 8 of 304 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xc01ff7687f1380629b83fcd7b6767875c399cd8e: 29.6% win rate over 395 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −384.4%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−8.2% over 14 fills); −$5.1K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.