PolyTrace
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Trader profile

browne

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$24.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72.3%159 settled · past 180 days43 open · 46% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded308Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.8% / $95% interval −176.9% to +188.5%183 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+6.2%n=170 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.3% · Decided 159 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$57.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.3K
Concentration
21.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
51
Showing the largest 8 of 51
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$12.3KPnL+$738Avg91.1¢Current97¢12,711.28Shares
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$9.8KPnL−$48Avg93.7¢Current93.2¢10,541.08Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$7KPnL+$818Avg84.3¢Current95.4¢7,353Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$4KPnL+$602Avg82.3¢Current96.8¢4,157.65Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$2.8KPnL+$155Avg83.6¢Current88.5¢3,173.37Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$144Avg86.1¢Current92.5¢2,250Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$46Avg86¢Current84¢2,300Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$1.1KAvg54¢Current33.5¢5,600Shares
Showing 8 of 51 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet browne: 72.3% win rate over 159 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +5.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −176.9%, n=183 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+6.2% over 170 fills); +$24.8K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.