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Trader profile

nalebarb

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Trade history could not be loaded0 open · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$272.9K323 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded116Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.6% / $95% interval −78.6% to +51.4%25 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−13.6%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1,000Avg19.5¢Current0¢5,117.69Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg29¢Current0¢3,445.08Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg84¢Current0¢595.47Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$95Avg31.9¢Current0¢297.39Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg64¢Current0¢312.5Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg19.3¢Current0¢517.35Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg41¢Current0¢487.29Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$900Avg72.6¢Current0¢1,240.31Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet nalebarb: edge −13.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −78.6%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−13.6% over 25 fills); −$4.5K lifetime P&L, $272.9K traded, updated 2026-09-24.