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Trader profile

luminaarx

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$20Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75%164 settled · past 180 days0 open · 16 days ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M279 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded185Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.4% / $95% interval −61.0% to +60.1%186 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−0.4%n=186 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75% · Decided 164 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$62.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg67¢Current0¢2,985.45Shares
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya
Elina Svitolina · YesValue$0PnL−$578Avg72¢Current0¢803.42Shares
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Andrea Guerrieri vs Daniil Glinka
Daniil Glinka · NoValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢9,048.25Shares
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowski
Olaf Pieczkowski · NoValue$0PnL−$973Avg42¢Current0¢2,315.6Shares
Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri Squire
Clement Tabur · YesValue$0PnL−$6.7KAvg83.7¢Current0¢7,946.98Shares
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Pierluigi Basile
Pierluigi Basile · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg26¢Current0¢385Shares
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova
Ekaterina Alexandrova · YesValue$0PnL−$8KAvg78¢Current0¢10,256.41Shares
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Alex Barrena
Alex Barrena · NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg45.7¢Current0¢9.85Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet luminaarx: 75% win rate over 164 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −0.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −61.0%, n=186 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−0.4% over 186 fills); +$20 lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-19.