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Trader profile

minionguy

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$161.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.5%55 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded816Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+482.3% / $95% interval −30.9% to +995.5%26 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+519.7%n=23 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.5% · Decided 55 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$734.8K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
331
Showing the largest 8 of 331
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$680Avg9.1¢Current5.8¢20,668.1Shares
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
FORZE ReloadValue$0PnL−$7.8KAvg43.5¢Current0¢18,007.24Shares
Bucks vs. Mavericks
MavericksValue$0PnL−$46Avg46¢Current0¢100Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Aurora Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg45¢Current0¢444.44Shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
PARIVISIONValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg52¢Current0¢2,480Shares
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
paiNValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg55¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
SangalValue$0PnL−$4.4KAvg44¢Current0¢9,999.87Shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner
3DMAXValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg44¢Current0¢3,637.39Shares
Showing 8 of 331 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet minionguy: 45.5% win rate over 55 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +482.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −30.9%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+519.7% over 23 fills); −$161.4K lifetime P&L, $6.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.