Last loaded3 days ago
- Current position value
- $50
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$57
- Concentration
- 100% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 4 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$44Avg3.4¢Current0¢1,304.73Shares
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Trader profile
smokyCappuccino
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$2.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.6%374 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded550Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−7.5% / $95% interval −205.6% to +190.6%34 settled fills · 90d window
- Crypto
- −7.8%n=32 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
Measured 23 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 81.6% · Decided 374 · 180d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$2.2K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$2.2K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$5.5K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$5.5K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$1.1KAbout this wallet
Wallet smokyCappuccino: 81.6% win rate over 374 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −205.6%, n=34 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−7.8% over 32 fills); −$2.2K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-21.