PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xbda1…827f

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet4 open · 7% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded978Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.9% / $95% interval −132.0% to +108.3%15 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.9%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$591
Snapshot cash PnL
−$188.3K
Concentration
95%
Largest share of value
Positions
669
Showing the largest 8 of 669
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?
YesValue$561PnL+$461Avg17.8¢Current100¢561.43Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23?
NoValue$29PnL+$9Avg68.5¢Current100¢29.18Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?
YesValue$0.42PnL−$32Avg3.8¢Current0.1¢839.45Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 23?
YesValue$0.29PnL−$5Avg0.9¢Current0.1¢574.24Shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 22?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg1.7¢Current0¢60.42Shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 15?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg20¢Current0¢25Shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 9?
YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢109.87Shares
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick Hanfmann · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg54¢Current0¢1,851.85Shares
Showing 8 of 669 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xbda1f80e58996a6c3553d5280840debe240d827f: edge −11.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −132.0%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.9% over 15 fills); −$1.4K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.