PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

lockin2026

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$677K485 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded169Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.4% / $95% interval −34.0% to +15.1%85 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.4%n=85 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$4
Snapshot cash PnL
−$62.9K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
67
Showing the largest 8 of 67
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$4PnL−$0.44Avg14.6¢Current13.2¢30.21Shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg25¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins
Trace Esports · NoValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢2,000Shares
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Group Stage
Ground Zero Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$260Avg27.5¢Current0¢945.86Shares
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
FOKUS Sakura · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg40¢Current0¢3,362.5Shares
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Santiago Luna · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg46¢Current0¢2,173.91Shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$180Avg19¢Current0¢947.37Shares
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Fortress (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A
Fortress · NoValue$0PnL−$130Avg13¢Current0¢999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 67 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lockin2026: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −9.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −34.0%, n=85 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.4% over 85 fills); −$3K lifetime P&L, $677K traded, updated 2026-09-22.