PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xbca2…6aba

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate97.7%601 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded858Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.4% / $95% interval −3.5% to +4.2%56 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.2%n=53 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 97.7% · Decided 601 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$500
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12.8K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres · YesValue$500PnL+$2Avg99.5¢Current100¢500Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
Nongshim Esports Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg99.5¢Current0¢2,744.32Shares
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng
Madison Keys · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg99.2¢Current0¢1,500Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
Dplus KIAValue$0PnL−$495Avg99¢Current0¢500Shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Invictus Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$63Avg90¢Current0¢70Shares
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg81¢Current0¢1,249.81Shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?
YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg3¢Current0¢200Shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
YesValue$0PnL−$920Avg92¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xbca290b9ce5ade123e892c6aca12565d7bf36aba: 97.7% win rate over 601 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.5%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.2% over 53 fills); −$1.1K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.