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Trader profile

justaluckydude

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.2MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.8%14,958 settled · past 90 days50 open · 30% underwater · 18 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$38.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,561Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.0% / $95% interval −3.8% to +11.9%3,012 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+14.1%n=57 settled
Sports
+3.8%n=2,955 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.8% · Decided 14,958 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete18 minutes ago
Current position value
$15.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$906.4K
Concentration
25.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
3,188
Showing the largest 8 of 3,188
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$3.9KPnL+$525Avg71.5¢Current82.5¢4,779.7Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres · YesValue$3.2KPnL+$1.3KAvg37.6¢Current63.5¢4,968.64Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$2.6KPnL+$573Avg78¢Current100¢2,609.98Shares
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)
Colorado Rockies · NoValue$1.6KPnL+$685Avg57.4¢Current100¢1,609.05Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Los Angeles Angels · YesValue$1.6KPnL+$369Avg13.4¢Current17.5¢8,945.74Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$746PnL−$674Avg69.5¢Current36.5¢2,043Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5
Under · NoValue$368PnL+$65Avg82.2¢Current100¢368Shares
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)
Athletics · YesValue$282PnL+$91Avg33.6¢Current49.5¢569Shares
Showing 8 of 3,188 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet justaluckydude: 52.8% win rate over 14,958 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +4.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.8%, n=3,012 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.8% over 2,955 fills); +$1.2M lifetime P&L, $38.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.