PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Angeredbees

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate10.5%752 settled · past 180 days45 open · 16% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,391Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.4% / $95% interval −380.1% to +367.4%16 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−6.4%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 10.5% · Decided 752 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$20.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$13.4K
Concentration
23.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$4.8KAvg0¢Current99.6¢4,785.8Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$3.2KAvg4¢Current71.5¢4,804.8Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$1.4KAvg4¢Current32¢4,885.88Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$1.1KAvg4¢Current27.5¢4,804.8Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$1KAvg4¢Current25¢4,885.88Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$926Avg4¢Current22.5¢5,005.01Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$876Avg4¢Current21.5¢5,005.01Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$876PnL+$676Avg4¢Current17.5¢5,005.01Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Angeredbees: 10.5% win rate over 752 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −6.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −380.1%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−6.4% over 16 fills); −$5K lifetime P&L, $4.1M traded, updated 2026-09-22.