PolyTrace
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Trader profile

8D1cDXikbIYM5T

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65%183 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M877 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded284Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.8% / $95% interval −23.0% to +11.5%113 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.8%n=113 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 65% · Decided 183 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$161.1K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
96
Showing the largest 8 of 96
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
1win · YesValue$1.4KPnL+$351Avg74¢Current100¢1,351.35Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg55¢Current0¢1,999.99Shares
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Iron Wing · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg54¢Current0¢5,550.46Shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg59¢Current0¢508.47Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg48¢Current0¢2,100Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg41.9¢Current0¢9,546.19Shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg28¢Current0¢7,142.86Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
Yakult Brothers · NoValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg39.3¢Current0¢6,721.43Shares
Showing 8 of 96 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 8D1cDXikbIYM5T: 65% win rate over 183 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −23.0%, n=113 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.8% over 113 fills); −$4.9K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.