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Trader profile

josephsmithlds

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$10.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…1 open · 0% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$730.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded534Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.1% / $95% interval −388.6% to +352.4%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.1%n=58 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$149
Snapshot cash PnL
−$37.4K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
88
Showing the largest 8 of 88
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
paiN · YesValue$149PnL+$5Avg92¢Current95.5¢155.65Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$184Avg67¢Current274.67Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$129Avg31.1¢Current415.26Shares
Astralis · NoValue$0PnL−$23Avg36.8¢Current62.25Shares
Anhelina Kalinina · NoValue$0PnL−$606Avg68¢Current891.57Shares
Paula Badosa · NoValue$0PnL−$820Avg59¢Current1,390.14Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$492Avg84¢Current585.23Shares
DownValue$0PnL−$5Avg35¢Current14.29Shares
Showing 8 of 88 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet josephsmithlds: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −18.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −388.6%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.1% over 58 fills); −$10.5K lifetime P&L, $730.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.