PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Ariel777

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.6%864 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded825Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.9% / $95% interval −32.5% to +34.3%310 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+31.6%n=51 settled
Sports
−6.6%n=259 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.6% · Decided 864 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$5.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$700.8K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
349
Showing the largest 8 of 349
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Conventus Stellarum · NoValue$5.2KPnL+$104Avg59.3¢Current60.5¢8,602.14Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg32.5¢Current0¢8,910.79Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg41.1¢Current0¢7,549.02Shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Team Spirit · YesValue$0PnL−$4.6KAvg35.7¢Current0¢12,897.25Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$7.1KAvg43.4¢Current0¢16,365.38Shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
T1 · YesValue$0PnL−$5.5KAvg35.7¢Current0¢15,411.09Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
JD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$104Avg54¢Current0¢193Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg36¢Current0¢4,448.28Shares
Showing 8 of 349 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Ariel777: 47.6% win rate over 864 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +0.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.5%, n=310 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.6% over 259 fills); −$12.8K lifetime P&L, $5.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.