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Trader profile

ThanksGivingTurkey1001

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$50.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.6%264 settled · past 180 days41 open · 17% underwater · 20 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$4.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded427Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.5% / $95% interval −120.7% to +99.7%138 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−2.2%n=19 settled
Crypto
−3.2%n=30 settled
Sports
−10.8%n=54 settled
Finance
−12.4%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.6% · Decided 264 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete20 minutes ago
Current position value
$361.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$18.5K
Concentration
42.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$154.2KPnL+$5.4KAvg96.1¢Current99.6¢154,908.05Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$83.1KPnL+$3.7KAvg94.9¢Current99.4¢83,672.14Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$30.7KPnL+$2.3KAvg82.9¢Current89.5¢34,289.24Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$8.6KPnL+$4.8KAvg25.2¢Current57.1¢14,999.56Shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
YesValue$7.5KPnL+$3.3KAvg31.3¢Current55.4¢13,613.48Shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?
NoValue$7.1KPnL−$67Avg97.5¢Current96.6¢7,390Shares
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September?
NoValue$6.4KPnL−$7Avg95.2¢Current95.1¢6,774.32Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
NoValue$6.4KPnL+$830Avg79.1¢Current91¢7,007.55Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ThanksGivingTurkey1001: 68.6% win rate over 264 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −120.7%, n=138 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−2.2% over 19 fills); +$50.1K lifetime P&L, $4.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.