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Trader profile

ScottyNooo

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.3%569 settled · past 90 days239 open · 45% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$144.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded511Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.7% / $95% interval −133.3% to +107.8%207 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+2.3%n=83 settled
Culture
−8.5%n=16 settled
Politics
−13.2%n=77 settled
Sports
−21.0%n=16 settled
Unmapped
−33.1%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.3% · Decided 569 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$735.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$5.1K
Concentration
15.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
246
Showing the largest 8 of 246
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$113.3KPnL−$26.6KAvg51.2¢Current41.5¢272,911.33Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$84.2KPnL+$23.6KAvg41.3¢Current57.4¢146,832Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$55.7KPnL+$7.6KAvg79.8¢Current92.5¢60,260.67Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$42.8KPnL+$8.9KAvg74.1¢Current93.5¢45,815.92Shares
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$30.7KPnL+$1.2KAvg96.2¢Current100¢30,668.78Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$24.6KPnL+$3.1KAvg44.7¢Current51.2¢48,099.76Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$21.8KPnL+$5.9KAvg4.6¢Current6.3¢349,536.74Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$21.7KPnL−$3.4KAvg81.6¢Current70.5¢30,711.92Shares
Showing 8 of 246 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ScottyNooo: 45.3% win rate over 569 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −133.3%, n=207 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+2.3% over 83 fills); +$1.1M lifetime P&L, $144.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.