PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

denizz

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.5%136 settled · past 90 days41 open · 24% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$98.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded169Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+11.4% / $95% interval −24.7% to +47.5%173 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+37.3%n=10 settled
Politics
+6.8%n=163 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.5% · Decided 136 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2M
Snapshot cash PnL
+$91.8K
Concentration
39.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
51
Showing the largest 8 of 51
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$476.2KPnL+$87.5KAvg76.3¢Current93.5¢509,323.65Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$316.8KPnL+$44.1KAvg73.6¢Current85.5¢370,469.8Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
NoValue$155.5KPnL+$18.7KAvg85¢Current96.7¢160,896.84Shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
NoValue$60.8KPnL+$11.7KAvg76.4¢Current94.5¢64,339.1Shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
YesValue$27.5KPnL+$5.4KAvg66.2¢Current82.5¢33,373.75Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$19.7KPnL+$2.5KAvg51.2¢Current58.6¢33,594.57Shares
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
NoValue$14.9KPnL+$2.9KAvg74.8¢Current92.5¢16,122.02Shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.9KPnL+$1.7KAvg82.1¢Current93.5¢14,912.02Shares
Showing 8 of 51 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet denizz: 62.5% win rate over 136 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +11.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.7%, n=173 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+6.8% over 163 fills); +$2.3M lifetime P&L, $98.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.