PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Prism1.1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$357.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded873Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.4% / $95% interval −255.6% to +252.7%12 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−2.1%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 25?
YesValue$0PnL−$990Avg17.9¢Current0¢5,529.22Shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 25?
YesValue$0PnL−$990Avg9.4¢Current0¢10,567.54Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 25?
YesValue$0PnL−$330Avg38¢Current0¢867.31Shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?
YesValue$0PnL−$881Avg4.4¢Current0¢19,823.08Shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 25?
YesValue$0PnL−$990Avg16.1¢Current0¢6,166.2Shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?
NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg93.7¢Current0¢320.25Shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 25?
YesValue$0PnL−$49Avg97.8¢Current0¢50.03Shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?
NoValue$0PnL−$12Avg96.5¢Current0¢12.43Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Prism1.1: edge −1.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −255.6%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−2.1% over 10 fills); −$7.4K lifetime P&L, $357.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.