PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xba3a…e041

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate87.2%1,356 settled · past 180 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$806.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,339Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.1% / $95% interval −10.9% to +4.7%36 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−1.1%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 87.2% · Decided 1,356 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?
YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg0.8¢Current0¢1,500Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$250Avg50¢Current0¢500Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$21Avg2.1¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg44.9¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$654Avg18.2¢Current0¢3,596.06Shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg72.9¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?
YesValue$0PnL−$963Avg96.3¢Current0¢999.87Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg97.3¢Current0¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xba3a00ef09e4d03b1f81f4c04ee73e8fa250e041: 87.2% win rate over 1,356 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.9%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−1.1% over 35 fills); −$10.4K lifetime P&L, $806.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.