PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

musndk

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$19KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.5%1,037 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$878.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,008Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.5% / $95% interval −531.8% to +506.8%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.6%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.5% · Decided 1,037 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$10
Snapshot cash PnL
−$57.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
150
Showing the largest 8 of 150
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
EDward Gaming · NoValue$10PnL−$0.16Avg31¢Current30.5¢32Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Aurora Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$949Avg48.7¢Current0¢1,947.15Shares
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner
CTBC Flying OysterValue$0PnL−$138Avg67¢Current0¢206.11Shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner
LegacyValue$0PnL−$4Avg33¢Current0¢11Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Hanwha Life Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$17Avg40¢Current0¢43Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
ThunderTalk GamingValue$0PnL−$663Avg54¢Current0¢1,229Shares
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner
Team Nemesis · YesValue$0PnL−$221Avg34.5¢Current0¢639Shares
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
Lynn VisionValue$0PnL−$68Avg25.1¢Current0¢268.57Shares
Showing 8 of 150 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet musndk: 47.5% win rate over 1,037 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −531.8%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.6% over 10 fills); −$19K lifetime P&L, $878.2K traded, updated 2026-09-23.