PolyTrace
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Trader profile

carmelasoprano1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$28.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52%125 settled · past 90 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$449.4K804 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded125Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.9% / $95% interval −45.1% to +1.4%68 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.9%n=67 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52% · Decided 125 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Hanwha Life Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$3KAvg59¢Current0¢5,060Shares
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg19¢Current0¢5,279.52Shares
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg15.9¢Current0¢7,465.03Shares
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Norwich City FC · NoValue$0PnL−$367Avg13¢Current0¢2,820Shares
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100 Thieves · NoValue$0PnL−$505Avg50¢Current0¢1,010.01Shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg41¢Current0¢6,000Shares
UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Levi Rodrigues Jr. · NoValue$0PnL−$0.10Avg38¢Current0¢0.26Shares
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
NoValue$0PnL−$581Avg15¢Current0¢3,869.97Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet carmelasoprano1: 52% win rate over 125 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −45.1%, n=68 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.9% over 67 fills); −$28.4K lifetime P&L, $449.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.