PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xb94c…ae33

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.4%57 settled · past 180 days0 open · 14 days ago
Lifetime volume$212.1K346 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded108Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.5% / $95% interval −641.4% to +586.3%21 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−27.5%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.4% · Decided 57 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$32K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
Luciano Darderi · NoValue$0PnL−$820Avg59.1¢Current0¢1,387.42Shares
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Faria
Ben Shelton · YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg60.6¢Current0¢3,984.92Shares
Suresh vs. Martin: Match O/U 22.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$277Avg54¢Current0¢512.06Shares
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti · NoValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg56¢Current0¢2,992.56Shares
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
Taylor Fritz · YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg63.7¢Current0¢3,018.4Shares
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
Draper · YesValue$0PnL−$412Avg49.7¢Current0¢829.46Shares
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaider
Anna Kalinskaya · YesValue$0PnL−$491Avg57¢Current0¢862.06Shares
49ers vs. Chargers
Chargers · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg55.3¢Current0¢2,433.01Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xb94ca08c16117cf779973c79f131a6b76fdfae33: 54.4% win rate over 57 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −27.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −641.4%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−27.5% over 21 fills); −$3K lifetime P&L, $212.1K traded, updated 2026-09-24.