PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xb8c8…d8a4

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$44.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.6%143 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded581Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+27.6% / $95% interval +10.3% to +45.0%148 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+27.6%n=148 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.6% · Decided 143 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$256.4K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
260
Showing the largest 8 of 260
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg50¢Current2,000Shares
Detroit Tigers · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg48¢Current2,708.33Shares
Baltimore OriolesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg46.8¢Current2,566.43Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg53.3¢Current1,877.78Shares
Hartford Wolf PackValue$0PnL−$513Avg48.8¢Current1,051.19Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg28.3¢Current4,241.69Shares
San Francisco Giants · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg43¢Current3,023.26Shares
San Jose BarracudaValue$0PnL−$517Avg47.1¢Current1,098.04Shares
Showing 8 of 260 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xb8c842bc049bf208f73354c7b037b811d741d8a4: 54.6% win rate over 143 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +27.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +10.3%, n=148 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+27.6% over 148 fills); +$44.3K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-21.