PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Rr55

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$36.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate74.7%1,083 settled · past 180 days290 open · 54% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,154Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.1% / $95% interval −799.7% to +753.6%15 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−24.8%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 74.7% · Decided 1,083 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$61K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.4K
Concentration
8.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
295
Showing the largest 8 of 295
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
NoValue$5.1KPnL+$20Avg97¢Current97.4¢5,214.21Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$2.9KPnL+$334Avg87.2¢Current98.8¢2,890.56Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$365Avg82¢Current99.2¢2,131.68Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$230Avg63.7¢Current73.5¢2,352.7Shares
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$642Avg48¢Current86.5¢1,667.89Shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$722Avg47.1¢Current98¢1,417.96Shares
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$672Avg43.4¢Current87¢1,539.03Shares
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$17Avg85.3¢Current86.5¢1,481.88Shares
Showing 8 of 295 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Rr55: 74.7% win rate over 1,083 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −799.7%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−24.8% over 13 fills); +$36.6K lifetime P&L, $5.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.