PolyTrace
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Trader profile

stockpicks

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$33.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate30.8%292 settled · past 180 days0 open · 13 days ago
Lifetime volume$7.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded506Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.9% / $95% interval −84.2% to +76.5%195 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.9%n=195 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 30.8% · Decided 292 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$581K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
198
Showing the largest 8 of 198
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg12¢Current20,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$270Avg5.4¢Current4,999.75Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg40.3¢Current5,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$8.6KAvg43.2¢Current20,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$4.3KAvg21.7¢Current20,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg28¢Current9,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$3.2KAvg32¢Current9,999.98Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg16.4¢Current7,500Shares
Showing 8 of 198 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet stockpicks: 30.8% win rate over 292 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −84.2%, n=195 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.9% over 195 fills); −$33.6K lifetime P&L, $7.4M traded, updated 2026-09-21.