PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

charlatta

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate83.7%208 settled · past 180 days40 open · 65% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded300Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.9% / $95% interval −207.2% to +169.3%204 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−5.4%n=33 settled
Finance
−18.9%n=130 settled
Sports
−21.3%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 83.7% · Decided 208 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$73.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.3K
Concentration
28.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
40
Showing the largest 8 of 40
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$20.8KPnL+$55Avg99¢Current99.3¢20,942.63Shares
Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?
NoValue$10.9KPnL−$238Avg97.7¢Current95.7¢11,360.59Shares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$131Avg94¢Current95.5¢8,750Shares
Iran leadership change by September 30?
NoValue$5.3KPnL+$102Avg97.5¢Current99.4¢5,370Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$4.8KPnL+$931Avg51.9¢Current64.5¢7,400Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$4.2KPnL+$23Avg88.5¢Current89¢4,699.98Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$3KPnL−$2.4KAvg60.8¢Current33.5¢8,916.76Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$16Avg94¢Current94.5¢3,121.63Shares
Showing 8 of 40 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet charlatta: 83.7% win rate over 208 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −207.2%, n=204 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−5.4% over 33 fills); +$5.2K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.