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Trader profile

x84729153

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$87.9K64 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded16Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.8% / $95% interval −44.5% to +4.9%14 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg8.8¢Current0¢143.91Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg8.8¢Current0¢143.91Shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg8.8¢Current0¢143.91Shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg8.8¢Current0¢143.91Shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg75.4¢Current0¢5,356.5Shares
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg8.8¢Current0¢143.91Shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg8.8¢Current0¢143.91Shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
NoValue$0PnL−$4.1KAvg77.5¢Current0¢5,284.69Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet x84729153: edge −19.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.5%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days); −$3.7K lifetime P&L, $87.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.