PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Elaran1993

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$542.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.8%283 settled · past 90 days2 open · 34% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded330Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.3% / $95% interval −18.0% to +3.4%310 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.1%n=271 settled
Unmapped
−16.8%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.8% · Decided 283 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$7.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$143.1K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Ravens vs. Cowboys
Ravens · YesValue$7.8KPnL+$312Avg60¢Current62.5¢12,496.66Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
YesValue$0.20PnL−$159Avg40¢Current0.1¢397Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
YesValue$0PnL−$55Avg43¢Current0¢128.78Shares
Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 60.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$6.8KAvg51.2¢Current0¢13,230.47Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
YesValue$0PnL−$108Avg45¢Current0¢239.57Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
NoValue$0PnL−$155Avg44¢Current0¢353.04Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
NoValue$0PnL−$3Avg43¢Current0¢5.87Shares
Fresno State vs. San Jose State: O/U 47.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$8.2KAvg52¢Current0¢15,851.12Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Elaran1993: 48.8% win rate over 283 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −18.0%, n=310 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.1% over 271 fills); +$542.2K lifetime P&L, $6.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.