PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xb6fe…7394

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$60.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.9%1,974 settled · past 90 days231 open · 35% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$27.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded519Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−31.4% / $95% interval −123.5% to +60.8%22 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−31.4%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.9% · Decided 1,974 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$203.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$5.7K
Concentration
4.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
274
Showing the largest 8 of 274
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?
YesValue$10KPnL+$657Avg93.1¢Current99.6¢10,064.44Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?
NoValue$10KPnL+$651Avg90.2¢Current96.5¢10,314.69Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?
YesValue$9.7KPnL+$539Avg89.9¢Current95.3¢10,154.51Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?
YesValue$7.6KPnL+$290Avg96.1¢Current100¢7,579.46Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 23?
NoValue$7.6KPnL+$262Avg96.3¢Current99.8¢7,593.31Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?
YesValue$7.4KPnL+$73Avg98.8¢Current99.8¢7,387.07Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?
YesValue$7KPnL+$86Avg97.5¢Current98.7¢7,100.05Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?
YesValue$6.4KPnL+$109Avg79.6¢Current81¢7,936.2Shares
Showing 8 of 274 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394: 59.9% win rate over 1,974 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −31.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −123.5%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−31.4% over 22 fills); +$60.6K lifetime P&L, $27.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.