PolyTrace
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Trader profile

black-rabbit

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$412.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.2%1,874 settled · past 90 days0 open · 11 days ago
Lifetime volume$39.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded495Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.7% / $95% interval −18.0% to +29.3%473 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.0%n=466 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.2% · Decided 1,874 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Dplus KIA · YesValue$0PnL−$180Avg6¢Current0¢3,000Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
T1Value$0PnL−$3.5KAvg32.2¢Current0¢10,759.37Shares
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
Inner Circle EsportsValue$0PnL−$701Avg18.3¢Current0¢3,836.38Shares
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Alliance · NoValue$0PnL−$311Avg28.3¢Current0¢1,100Shares
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
M80Value$0PnL−$324Avg11¢Current0¢2,944.43Shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Team FalconsValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg26.4¢Current0¢8,557.48Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg30¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
PARIVISION · YesValue$0PnL−$229Avg11.5¢Current0¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet black-rabbit: 52.2% win rate over 1,874 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +5.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −18.0%, n=473 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.0% over 466 fills); +$412.3K lifetime P&L, $39.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.