PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

messi99

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$396Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 18 days ago
Lifetime volume$94.7K23 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.7% / $95% interval −100.0% to +78.5%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.7%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0.33
Snapshot cash PnL
−$400
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
2
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Spain · YesValue$0.33PnL+$0.07Avg78.3¢Current100¢0.33Shares
Argentina · NoValue$0PnL−$400Avg5.5¢Current7,260.87Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet messi99: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −10.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −100.0%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.7% over 11 fills); +$396 lifetime P&L, $94.7K traded, updated 2026-09-23.