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Trader profile

hot2trot

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateNot measured yet0 open · 18 days ago
Lifetime volume$13.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded59Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+52.0% / $95% interval +41.3% to +62.6%316 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+52.0%n=316 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 35 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8M
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$127.5KAvg42.5¢Current299,999.99Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$80.5KAvg23¢Current350,000Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$32.7KAvg52.7¢Current62,105.96Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$33.3KAvg46¢Current72,505.52Shares
England · YesValue$0PnL−$10.6KAvg25.8¢Current41,304.33Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$92.5KAvg37¢Current249,998.85Shares
Sweden · NoValue$0PnL−$377.7KAvg46¢Current821,009.58Shares
Bosnia and Herzegovina · NoValue$0PnL−$280KAvg56¢Current499,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hot2trot: edge +52.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +41.3%, n=316 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+52.0% over 316 fills); +$2.1M lifetime P&L, $13.7M traded, updated 2026-09-21.