PolyTrace
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Trader profile

tnl

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.3%478 settled · past 90 days62 open · 13% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$17.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded613Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.0% / $95% interval −69.0% to +61.0%192 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.0%n=179 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.3% · Decided 478 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$256K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$28.8K
Concentration
50.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
70
Showing the largest 8 of 70
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$128.1KPnL+$30.5KAvg29.3¢Current38.5¢332,765.26Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$26.9KPnL+$773Avg86.9¢Current89.5¢30,009.74Shares
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
YesValue$16.4KPnL+$5.2KAvg36.6¢Current53.5¢30,618.17Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?
NoValue$9.8KPnL+$1.8KAvg79.7¢Current98¢10,010Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$9.7KPnL+$3KAvg66.9¢Current96.7¢10,000Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$7.5KPnL+$418Avg94¢Current99.6¢7,515.75Shares
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
NoValue$4.9KPnL+$383Avg91¢Current98.7¢4,999.97Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$98Avg94¢Current96¢5,000Shares
Showing 8 of 70 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tnl: 56.3% win rate over 478 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −69.0%, n=192 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.0% over 179 fills); +$18.2K lifetime P&L, $17.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.