PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xb552…b70c

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$46.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.9%2,316 settled · past 180 days29 open · 45% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,205Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.0% / $95% interval −245.3% to +235.4%101 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+2.4%n=88 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.9% · Decided 2,316 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$3.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$33
Concentration
78.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$74Avg58.9¢Current60.5¢4,688.37Shares
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YesValue$271PnL−$17Avg75.6¢Current71¢381.64Shares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$133PnL+$17Avg19.5¢Current22.5¢591.08Shares
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$58PnL+$10Avg82.7¢Current100¢57.55Shares
LoL: Fuego vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
EDward Gaming Youth Team · NoValue$50PnL+$13Avg74.2¢Current100¢49.66Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?
YesValue$47PnL−$0.03Avg98.5¢Current98.4¢47.43Shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
YesValue$36PnL−$6Avg1.2¢Current1.1¢3,398.61Shares
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · YesValue$35PnL−$8Avg28¢Current23¢152.04Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xb5527654d309c6617addabbb64e47931cf35b70c: 44.9% win rate over 2,316 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −245.3%, n=101 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+2.4% over 88 fills); −$46.3K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.