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Trader profile

cambridgeisaac

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$66.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…115 open · 73% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded742Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.9% / $95% interval −321.7% to +261.9%100 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−1.8%n=11 settled
Politics
−35.0%n=76 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$78.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.9K
Concentration
23.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
122
Showing the largest 8 of 122
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$18.5KPnL−$17Avg71.6¢Current71.5¢25,917.86Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$9.6KPnL+$247Avg85.2¢Current87.5¢10,932.82Shares
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
NoValue$9.1KPnL−$84Avg77.2¢Current76.5¢11,945.81Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$31Avg83.4¢Current84.5¢2,693.32Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$647Avg40.2¢Current57.5¢3,732.84Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
YesValue$2KPnL+$29Avg68.5¢Current69.5¢2,919.86Shares
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$90Avg81¢Current85¢2,239.92Shares
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$49Avg82¢Current84.5¢1,950.63Shares
Showing 8 of 122 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cambridgeisaac: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −29.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −321.7%, n=100 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−1.8% over 11 fills); +$66.3K lifetime P&L, $6.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.