PolyTrace
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Trader profile

M2sx92kljs42

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$41.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…42 open · 3% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded567Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.7% / $95% interval −350.9% to +335.4%70 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−4.7%n=66 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$143.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29.8K
Concentration
20.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
86
Showing the largest 8 of 86
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
NoValue$29.2KPnL+$26.7KAvg6.9¢Current81¢36,100.79Shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
NoValue$13.4KPnL+$8.3KAvg33.4¢Current87.5¢15,323.14Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$10.7KPnL+$2.9KAvg38.7¢Current53¢20,102.45Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$9.3KPnL+$311Avg64.8¢Current67¢13,896.35Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$8.9KPnL+$4.9KAvg18.5¢Current41.3¢21,657.76Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$8.1KPnL+$707Avg82.6¢Current90.5¢8,916.03Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NoValue$7.4KPnL−$102Avg77.6¢Current76.5¢9,718.51Shares
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
NoValue$7.4KPnL+$3.8KAvg41.4¢Current86¢8,624.74Shares
Showing 8 of 86 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet M2sx92kljs42: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −7.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −350.9%, n=70 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−4.7% over 66 fills); +$41.8K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.