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Trader profile

WreckedBag

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet49 open · 59% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,266Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.2% / $95% interval −138.0% to +148.3%64 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.4%n=62 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 35 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded1 day ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$10.9K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$111.3K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
40.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins · YesValue$4.4KPnL−$115Avg88.8¢Current86.5¢5,087.78Shares
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins · YesValue$1.7KPnL+$1KAvg40.7¢Current100¢1,707.69Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$1.4KPnL+$109Avg90.1¢Current97.5¢1,482.77Shares
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)
Miami Marlins · NoValue$1.4KPnL+$172Avg87.9¢Current100¢1,427.56Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$582PnL+$392Avg13.8¢Current42.4¢1,370.72Shares
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants · NoValue$325PnL−$173Avg20.7¢Current13.5¢2,409.59Shares
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
San Francisco Giants · NoValue$224PnL−$116Avg38.7¢Current25.5¢879.46Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros · YesValue$125PnL+$52Avg56.8¢Current96.9¢128.66Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet WreckedBag: edge +5.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −138.0%, n=64 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.4% over 62 fills); −$12.5K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.