PolyTrace
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Trader profile

vad1

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$37.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.3%1,615 settled · past 180 days4 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,280Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+25.5% / $95% interval −159.0% to +210.0%79 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+27.6%n=73 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.3% · Decided 1,615 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$185
Snapshot cash PnL
−$84.1K
Concentration
73.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
307
Showing the largest 8 of 307
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$136PnL−$164Avg32¢Current14.5¢937.5Shares
YesValue$34PnL−$166Avg79.9¢Current13.4¢250.28Shares
YesValue$15PnL−$277Avg16.7¢Current0.9¢1,751.59Shares
YesValue$0.50PnL−$55Avg5.6¢Current0.1¢1,000Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$89Avg95¢Current93.68Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg93¢Current215.05Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$900Avg19.7¢Current4,566Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$115Avg14¢Current820Shares
Showing 8 of 307 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet vad1: 53.3% win rate over 1,615 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +25.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −159.0%, n=79 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+27.6% over 73 fills); −$37.5K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.