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Trader profile

ceil

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$7.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$341.6K109 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded33Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−26.7% / $95% interval −126.1% to +72.7%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−26.7%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$84
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29.3K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$84PnL−$166Avg12¢Current4.1¢2,083.33Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg18.2¢Current821.92Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg8.5¢Current3,511.79Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg2.9¢Current1,037.62Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg4.5¢Current4,450.06Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg4.3¢Current3,488.37Shares
United States · YesValue$0PnL−$7.1KAvg54¢Current13,177.78Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ceil: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −26.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −126.1%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−26.7% over 10 fills); +$7.2K lifetime P&L, $341.6K traded, updated 2026-09-23.