Trader profile

caviaro

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-20

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate66.2%384 settled · past 180 days32 open · >99% underwater · 4 days ago

Lifetime volume$30.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded78Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.2% · Decided 384 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded4 days ago

Current position value: $1.5K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$1.9K
Concentration: 10.5%
Positions: 70

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$156PnL−$146Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢311,395.14Shares

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$140PnL−$140Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢280,109.08Shares

Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$138PnL−$128Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢275,473.75Shares

Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$120PnL−$120Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢239,398.58Shares

Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$97PnL−$97Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢193,445.89Shares

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$94PnL−$94Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢188,008.84Shares

Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

YesValue$93PnL−$93Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢186,597.09Shares

Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?

YesValue$90PnL−$90Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢179,701.69Shares

Showing 8 of 70 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet caviaro: 66.2% win rate over 384 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$5.9K lifetime P&L, $30.7M traded, updated 2026-09-20.