PolyTrace
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Trader profile

calculate10

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$148.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.2%2,533 settled · past 90 days5 open · 89% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$10M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded378Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.6% / $95% interval −25.3% to +42.4%272 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+11.9%n=85 settled
Sports
+6.3%n=187 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.2% · Decided 2,533 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$31K
Concentration
83.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
138
Showing the largest 8 of 138
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs
Misa Esports · NoValue$4.2KPnL+$608Avg85.5¢Current100¢4,204.74Shares
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs
Leo Team · YesValue$793PnL−$296Avg44¢Current32¢2,478.47Shares
Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs MORROW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group A
Saint Sinners · YesValue$8PnL+$3Avg68¢Current100¢8.25Shares
Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs MORROW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group A
MORROW · NoValue$3PnL−$3.4KAvg50.1¢Current0.1¢6,729.56Shares
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs
QUAZAR · YesValue$1PnL−$1.2KAvg47.9¢Current0.1¢2,538.49Shares
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$318Avg59.9¢Current0¢530.69Shares
LoL: Bulldog Esports vs LEO - Game 1 Winner
LEOValue$0PnL−$14Avg14¢Current0¢100Shares
LoL: White Dragons vs Tung Tung Bogi - Game 3 Winner
Tung Tung BogiValue$0PnL−$66Avg18.7¢Current0¢350Shares
Showing 8 of 138 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet calculate10: 52.2% win rate over 2,533 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.3%, n=272 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.3% over 187 fills); +$148.1K lifetime P&L, $10M traded, updated 2026-09-23.