PolyTrace
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Trader profile

NiceDuckBro

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.4%290 settled · past 180 days20 open · 58% underwater · 36 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded601Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.8% / $95% interval −370.0% to +360.3%42 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−3.1%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.4% · Decided 290 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete36 minutes ago
Current position value
$15.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$956
Concentration
23.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$619Avg80¢Current96.4¢3,779.8Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$965Avg51.2¢Current70.5¢5,000Shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$668Avg72.6¢Current98.4¢2,589.44Shares
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$2.1KAvg47.3¢Current22.5¢8,361.98Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$440Avg79.8¢Current57.9¢2,001.73Shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$44Avg59.2¢Current61.5¢1,876.48Shares
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?
NoValue$377PnL+$76Avg74.4¢Current93.4¢403.77Shares
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
YesValue$340PnL−$341Avg47.1¢Current23.5¢1,447.25Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NiceDuckBro: 62.4% win rate over 290 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −370.0%, n=42 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−3.1% over 32 fills); +$4.3K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.