BUYNOAugust 14 · 41.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Open market trace →$1.2K← Back to traders
ThetaDecay2005specialist
0xb25d2d8100bb0ac29e886c526c74c0871386d127
ThetaDecay2005 (0xb25d2d8100bb0ac29e886c526c74c0871386d127) Polymarket wallet: −$1K PnL · $126.8K volume. Whale trades · updated 2026-08-01 on PolyTrace.
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Lifetime PnL−$1K
Win rate—only 17 settled so far
Lifetime volume$126.8K135 trades · via Polymarket
Realized PnL+$48open PnL −$1.1K
Markets traded28lifetime
Decision summary
Loss-making and active.
Lifetime PnL is −$1K and too few positions have settled to judge a hit rate yet. 3 whale trades in the last 24 hours.
Whale activity · 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1,000. Empty days keep their space so activity does not jump.
Open positions
Visible whale-sized legs (≥$1k, 90d) on open markets — sizes are floors, not the wallet's whole book.
No visible open positions — exited, resolved, or entered below the whale threshold.
Recent capital traces
What this wallet did, with direction and market context kept together.
BUYNOSeptember 30 · 91¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Open market trace →$2.2KBUYNOJuly 31 · 83¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)Open market trace →$1.1KSELLNOAugust 31 · 95.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Open market trace →$1.9KBUYYESYes · 24¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Open market trace →$2.4KSELLNO76¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Open market trace →$7.6KBUYNOJuly 24 · 99.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Open market trace →$5.9KBUYNOJuly 24 · 99.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Open market trace →$3.7KBUYNOJuly 24 · 75.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Open market trace →$1.9KBUYNOJuly 31 · 98.3¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Open market trace →$1.3KBUYYES25 bps increase · 19.7¢
Fed Decision In July 181Open market trace →$2KBUYNOJuly 24 · 82¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)Open market trace →$1.6KSELLNOAugust 31 · 86¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Open market trace →$3.4KBUYNOAugust 14 · 71¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)Open market trace →$1.4KBUYNOJuly 24 · 88¢
Iran Announces Withdrawal From Mou Negotiations Byptptpt 20260622191732319Open market trace →$1.3KSELLNOJuly 17 · 97.8¢
Iran Announces Withdrawal From Mou Negotiations Byptptpt 20260622191732319Open market trace →$1.5KBUYNOJuly 17 · 85.5¢
Iran Announces Withdrawal From Mou Negotiations Byptptpt 20260622191732319Open market trace →$1.3KSELLNOJuly 15 · 97¢
Iran Full Airspace Closure Byptptpt 20260625195253028Open market trace →$1.9KBUYNOAugust 31 · 81.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Open market trace →$3.3KBUYNOJuly 31 · 85¢
Us Announces Withdrawal From Mou Negotiations Byptptpt 20260622192051747Open market trace →$1.1KProfile last updated 6h ago.