PolyTrace
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Trader profile

aatf

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.8%460 settled · past 180 days9 open · 78% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded88Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.1% / $95% interval −28.5% to +24.3%636 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.1%n=636 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.8% · Decided 460 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$7
Snapshot cash PnL
−$118
Concentration
32.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
28
Showing the largest 8 of 28
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$2PnL+$0.06Avg50¢Current51.2¢4.66Shares
NoValue$0.90PnL+$0.41Avg50¢Current91.1¢0.99Shares
NoValue$0.81PnL+$0.41Avg50¢Current100¢0.81Shares
NoValue$0.73PnL+$0.36Avg50¢Current100¢0.73Shares
NoValue$0.70PnL+$0.26Avg50¢Current79.3¢0.88Shares
YesValue$0.67PnL−$1Avg50¢Current15.6¢4.31Shares
YesValue$0.52PnL+$0.09Avg50¢Current60.5¢0.86Shares
NoValue$0.44PnL+$0.22Avg50¢Current100¢0.44Shares
Showing 8 of 28 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet aatf: 49.8% win rate over 460 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −2.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −28.5%, n=636 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.1% over 636 fills); −$7.4K lifetime P&L, $7M traded, updated 2026-09-21.