PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xb14a…4254

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$579Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 17 settled so far1 open · 100% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$114.3K120 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded61Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.8% / $95% interval −401.4% to +383.8%27 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.8%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$2
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13.3K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Conventus Stellarum · NoValue$2PnL−$1.9KAvg60¢Current0.1¢3,226.27Shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Vici GamingValue$0PnL−$500Avg70¢Current0¢714.29Shares
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
PlayTime · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg51.1¢Current0¢2,544.49Shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Team Spirit · YesValue$0PnL−$44Avg23.3¢Current0¢190.38Shares
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
Team Lynx · YesValue$0PnL−$499Avg64.8¢Current0¢769.19Shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
GamerLegion · NoValue$0PnL−$484Avg67.6¢Current0¢715.49Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$978Avg55.2¢Current0¢1,772.34Shares
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winner
Team RefuserValue$0PnL−$606Avg43¢Current0¢1,408.47Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xb14ac3a7e4b56c26afd5cd065c500fa0a2be4254: edge −8.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −401.4%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.8% over 27 fills); −$579 lifetime P&L, $114.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.