PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Parz1vaI

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$745.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.7%499 settled · past 90 days93 open · 33% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$69.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded366Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.3% / $95% interval −46.0% to +54.7%864 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+19.3%n=144 settled
Sports
+12.0%n=312 settled
Finance
+4.0%n=43 settled
Tech
+1.5%n=16 settled
Politics
−6.8%n=284 settled
Unmapped
−10.9%n=21 settled
Crypto
−23.1%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.7% · Decided 499 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$286K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$82.5K
Concentration
11.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
123
Showing the largest 8 of 123
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$33.8KPnL+$241Avg90.9¢Current91.6¢36,955.08Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$25.1KPnL+$353Avg98.2¢Current99.6¢25,215.85Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$17.5KPnL+$505Avg84¢Current86.5¢20,189.63Shares
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$16.7KPnL+$565Avg90.3¢Current93.5¢17,832.7Shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$15.1KPnL−$1.6KAvg24.6¢Current22.2¢68,324.02Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$12.9KPnL+$4.4KAvg38.2¢Current58.2¢22,116.45Shares
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
NoValue$12.4KPnL+$594Avg78.5¢Current82.5¢14,979.34Shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$11KPnL+$426Avg68.7¢Current71.5¢15,399.56Shares
Showing 8 of 123 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Parz1vaI: 71.7% win rate over 499 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +4.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −46.0%, n=864 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+19.3% over 144 fills); +$745.6K lifetime P&L, $69.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.